This market will resolve based on the performance of the NASDAQ Composite Index (^IXIC) in 2026, as an indicator of the AI investment bubble. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the official closing value of ^IXIC on December 31, 2026 (or the last trading day of 2026), is at least 30% lower than the 'Highest Official Closing Value' recorded during the calendar year 2026 (from 01/01/2026 to 31/12/2026). Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.

Data Source: Resolution data will be sourced from Yahoo Finance historical prices (^IXIC). If unavailable, Bloomberg or the official NASDAQ website will be used as alternatives.

Practical Example: If the NASDAQ Composite reaches a peak (highest close) of 25,000 points in 2026:

• YES: If the year-end close is 17,500 or lower (≥30% drop from peak).

• NO: If the year-end close is above 17,500.