This market will resolve Yes if Bitcoin’s network mining difficulty decreases in three consecutive difficulty adjustments, with all three adjustments occurring during calendar year 2026.

A difficulty adjustment will count as a decrease if the Bitcoin network difficulty immediately following the adjustment is lower than the difficulty immediately preceding it.

The three qualifying decreases must occur in an uninterrupted sequence. Any flat or upward adjustment between them will reset the count.

This market will resolve No if no such sequence occurs by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET.

Resolution will be based on publicly available Bitcoin blockchain data. The adjustment is considered to occur at the timestamp of the first block mined under the newly adjusted difficulty.

If a qualifying sequence begins in 2025 or ends in 2027, it will not count; all three adjustments must occur in 2026.