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This market will resolve based on the earliest date that federal criminal charges against Ilhan Omar are formally filed or unsealed in a U.S. federal court.
By October 31: Charges are filed or unsealed on or before October 31, 2026.
November 30: Charges are first filed or unsealed during November 2026.
December 31: Charges are first filed or unsealed during December 2026.
Not by December 31: No qualifying federal criminal charges are filed or unsealed by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
A federal grand jury indictment or criminal complaint filed by federal prosecutors qualifies. Investigations, subpoenas, congressional referrals, civil lawsuits, public allegations, and state-level charges do not qualify.
Resolution will rely on official federal court records, U.S. Department of Justice announcements, and credible reporting corroborating a qualifying filing.
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