Resolution Criteria

The market will resolve based on the person who is formally appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 general election.

• CHRISTOPHER LUXON: Resolves YES if Christopher Luxon is appointed Prime Minister.

• CHRIS HIPKINS: Resolves YES if Chris Hipkins is appointed Prime Minister.

• ANY OTHER POLITICIAN: Resolves YES if any other individual is appointed Prime Minister.

• The market may be extended beyond the scheduled resolution date until the new Prime Minister is officially appointed and confirmed.

• Election-night results, party standings, and coalition negotiations alone will not determine the outcome.

• The market will remain open for resolution purposes until an official appointment is confirmed.

Confirmation Sources

Resolution will be based on confirmation from reliable official sources, including:

1. New Zealand Governor-General’s Office – official announcement or confirmation of the Prime Minister’s appointment.

2. Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet (DPMC) – official government formation and appointment announcements.

3. New Zealand Government / Beehive website – official confirmation of the incoming Prime Minister and government.

4. Reputable news organisations – may be used as supporting confirmation, but official sources take precedence.

Final outcome: The market resolves to the person officially appointed as Prime Minister. The extension is intended to allow sufficient time for government formation and formal confirmation.