Next Turkish election: winning party?

Next Turkish election: winning party?

0%
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Volume₿0
Liquidity₿0
Trades0
LMSR
May 07, 2028
OutcomeChanceActions
  • Recep Tayyip Erdogan

    22 sats vol.

    20.4%
  • Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu

    22 sats vol.

    20.4%
  • Yeni Parti

    21 sats vol.

    20.4%
  • MHP

    0 sats vol.

    19.4%
  • Others

    0 sats vol.

    19.4%
Drafting resolution criteria for the multi-outcome Turkish election market. The five outcomes are Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, Yeni Parti, MHP, and Others. The market close time is 2028-05-07T23:59:00.000Z. The resolution format will use a General Rules section for shared conditions like data cutoff and source priority, followed by one concise outcome condition per party in the exact listed order. Only one outcome can be correct.Resolution Rules: General Rules: This market resolves based solely on the official results of the next Turkish presidential election as published or last updated by the Supreme Election Council (YSK) at or before 2028-05-07T23:59:00.000Z. Only results from the first round or any runoff completed by that time are considered. Revisions or updates published after the close time are ignored. If no definitive winner is certified by the close time, the market resolves based on the latest authoritative information available at close. Only one outcome can be correct. Outcome Conditions: Recep Tayyip Erdogan: resolves if he is elected president. Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu: resolves if he is elected president. Yeni Parti: resolves if the elected president's affiliated party is Yeni Parti. MHP: resolves if the elected president's affiliated party is MHP. Others: resolves if none of the above outcomes occur. Resolution Sources: Supreme Election Council (YSK) official election results: https://sonuc.ysk.gov.tr/sorgu YSK Open Data Portal: https://acikveri.ysk.gov.tr/anasayfaResolution Rules: General Rules: This market resolves based solely on the official results of the next Turkish presidential election as published or last updated by the Supreme Election Council (YSK) at or before 2028-05-07T23:59:00.000Z. Only results from the first round or any runoff completed by that time are considered. Revisions or updates published after the close time are ignored. If no definitive winner is certified by the close time, the market resolves based on the latest authoritative information available at close. Only one outcome can be correct. Outcome Conditions: Recep Tayyip Erdogan: resolves if he is elected president. Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu: resolves if he is elected president. Yeni Parti: resolves if the elected president's affiliated party is Yeni Parti. MHP: resolves if the elected president's affiliated party is MHP. Others: resolves if none of the above outcomes occur. Resolution Sources: Supreme Election Council (YSK) official election results: https://sonuc.ysk.gov.tr/sorgu YSK Open Data Portal: https://acikveri.ysk.gov.tr/anasayfa
Mechanism
Market maker
Market type
Multiple outcomes
Created
Oct 22, 2026
Closes
May 7, 2028, 23:59 UTC
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