Peak hash rate signaling for BIP-110 by September 2026?

Peak hash rate signaling for BIP-110 by September 2026?

🎉 Resolved to
0% - 4.99%/YES (Oct 06, 2026)
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Sep 30, 2026

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This market resolves to the option corresponding to the highest percentage of Bitcoin network hash rate that signals support for BIP-110 at any point on or before 23:59:59 CT on September 30, 2026.

For purposes of this market:

  • "Hash rate signaling" refers to the estimated percentage of network hash rate signaling for BIP-110, as reflected by the primary data source.

  • The market resolves based on the maximum observed signaling percentage prior to the deadline, not the final percentage on September 30.

  • If the reported value falls exactly on a bucket boundary (e.g. 10.00%), it resolves to the higher bucket (10.00%–14.99%).

Primary source: mempool.space's BIP-110 signaling tracker (or its successor if relocated).

Fallback sources: Other widely recognized Bitcoin signaling trackers or direct analysis of block version bits from the Bitcoin blockchain if the primary source is unavailable.

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Closes
Oct 1, 2026, 04:59 UTC
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