Resolution Criteria:
This market resolves to “Yes” if, during 2025, quantum computers are consistently demonstrated to outperform classical computers in solving real-world problems or benchmarks across multiple credible and independent sources.
Criteria for Outperformance:
• Quantum computers must achieve superior performance in practical applications, such as optimization, cryptography, or machine learning, where classical computers are currently dominant.
• The performance must be validated by credible, peer-reviewed research, or confirmed by industry announcements and expert consensus.
Sources:
• Accepted sources include peer-reviewed journals, major scientific organizations, or credible news outlets specializing in technology and computing.
Resolution Date & Time:
December 31, 2025, at 23:59 PST, or earlier if clear evidence of consistent quantum superiority emerges.
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