This market resolves to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any length of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT.

Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.”

Clarifications

A “Yes” resolution includes, but is not limited to:
- Resignation
- Removal by vote of no confidence
- Dismissal by the monarch
- Replacement following a general election
- Any temporary or permanent loss of the office, even if followed by reinstatement
If, before December 31, 2026, there is an official announcement confirming that Keir Starmer will resign, be removed, or otherwise cease to be Prime Minister, this market will immediately resolve to “Yes,” regardless of when the change takes effect.
Temporary absences where Keir Starmer retains the office (e.g., medical leave while remaining Prime Minister) do not qualify.

Resolution sources

Official statements or records from the UK government
If unavailable or delayed, a consensus of credible reporting from major UK or international news organizations will be used

Creator Reviews

@mega_dreamer

@mega_dreamer

Description