US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?

US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?

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Dec 31, 2026
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT, the United States acquires sovereignty or primary/exclusive jurisdiction or control over any defined land territory in Greenland through a binding legal instrument (e.g., treaty, enacted legislation, or executive action), including via force. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

Only binding actions that unambiguously transfer sovereignty or establish primary/exclusive U.S. jurisdiction qualify, even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline. Non-binding statements, negotiations, MOUs, basing/access agreements, SOFA/COFA-type arrangements, leases, or commercial concessions do not qualify. Any U.S. rights or control existing at market creation (Jan 9, 2026, 1:20 AM PT) will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official statements or legal instruments from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary.

Mechanism
Market maker
Market type
Two outcomes
Created
Jan 9, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 07:59 UTC
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