Who will win Best Actor at the 2026 Oscar?

Who will win Best Actor at the 2026 Oscar?

🎉 Resolved to
Michael B. Jordan/YES (Jun 18, 2026)
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Mar 15, 2026

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0xprey7

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Resolution Rules: General Rules: This multi-outcome market resolves to the actor who wins the Academy Award for Actor in a Leading Role (Best Actor) at the 98th Academy Awards ceremony on March 15, 2026, according to official results published on the primary resolution sources at or before the market close time of 2026-03-16T01:10:00.000Z (UTC). Only one outcome can be correct, unless the Academy officially declares a tie, in which case multiple outcomes may resolve as correct. Ties, disqualifications, cancellations, or no winner follow official Academy determinations published by close time; data published after close time is ignored. If the entire ceremony is canceled or no definitive result by close time, the market will be voided with refunds per Predyx rules. If no data is available from primary sources by close time, secondary sources will be used (with timestamps at or before close time). Timestamps are based on source metadata or UTC server time. The market creator will resolve based on these sources; disputes follow Predyx policies, with appeals within 24 hours of resolution.

Outcome Conditions:

• ‘Michael B. Jordan’ (for Sinners): resolves if officially announced as winner.

• ‘Timothée Chalamet’ (for Marty Supreme): resolves if officially announced as winner.

• ‘Wagner Moura’ (for The Secret Agent): resolves if officially announced as winner.

• ‘Leonardo DiCaprio’ (for One Battle After Another): resolves if officially announced as winner.

• ‘Ethan Hawke’ (for Blue Moon): resolves if officially announced as winner.

Resolution Sources: Primary (priority order): 1. Official Academy Awards website, 98th Oscars ceremony page - https://www.oscars.org/oscars/ceremonies/2026; 2. Academy Awards Database - https://awardsdatabase.oscars.org/; 3. Academy Awards databases page - https://www.oscars.org/oscars/awards-databases. Secondary: 1. Wikipedia 98th Academy Awards page - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/98th_Academy_Awards; 2. Variety Oscars winners list - https://variety.com/lists/oscars-winners-2026/; 3. Hollywood Reporter Oscars winners list - https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/lists/oscars-2026-winners/.

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Multiple outcomes
Closes
Mar 16, 2026, 01:10 UTC
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