Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

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Dec 31, 2026
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This market will resolve based on the total percentage return of Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold over the calendar year 2026, calculated from the closing price on December 31, 2025 (or the last trading day prior if unavailable), to the closing price on December 31, 2026 (or the last trading day prior if unavailable).

The USD price of 1 BTC will be the daily closing price as reported by CoinMarketCap (https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/historical-data/). - The price of Gold will be the PM London fixing price in USD per troy ounce as reported by the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) (https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/precious-metal-prices#pmPrices).

The percentage return for each asset is calculated as: [(End price - Start price) / Start price] × 100.

If Bitcoin's percentage return is greater than Gold's, the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Resolution will occur after the market close date using the specified sources.

Mechanism
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Two outcomes
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 05:59 UTC
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