Will Bitcoin Reach $100K in 2026

Will Bitcoin Reach $100K in 2026

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LMSR
Dec 31, 2026
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Detailed Description

This market resolves to YES if the BTC/USD spot price reaches or exceeds $100,000 at any time between March 11, 2026 (00:00 UTC) and December 31, 2026 (23:59 UTC). The market may resolve to YES early upon confirmation of the price threshold.

The reference price will be the highest recorded BTC/USD trade price on the Coinbase exchange during the specified period, verified via official API (api.coinbase.com) or historical data.

Example scenarios:

• If Bitcoin trades at $100,001 on April 1, 2026, the market resolves YES.

• If the highest recorded price during the entire period is $99,999, the market resolves NO at the end of the prediction window.

Resolution is determined strictly by verifiable market price data, regardless of macroeconomic conditions or external narratives.

Outcomes

• YES: Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $100,000 at any time during the prediction period.

• NO: Bitcoin does not reach $100,000 during the prediction period.

Resolution Rules

Primary Source

BTC/USD spot market on Coinbase, based on the highest confirmed trade price during the prediction period (via API or official records).

Secondary Sources

If Coinbase data is unavailable or disputed, the following exchanges may be used for verification (using the average of the highest prices if discrepancy >1%):

• Binance

• Kraken

Price Spikes

Short-lived spikes caused by exchange errors or technical glitches may be disregarded if there is strong evidence the trade was invalid.

Resolution Process

Resolution will be handled by Predyx’s oracle or team based on public data. In case of disputes, Predyx reserves the right to use archived data or community consensus. Payouts are instant via Lightning Network in sats, based on final outcomes.

Defined Dates

Prediction Start

March 11, 2026 — 00:00 UTC

Prediction End

December 31, 2026 — 23:59 UTC (trading closes at this time)

Maximum Resolution Date

January 1, 2027 — 23:59 UTC

The market may resolve early if the price threshold is reached.

Mechanism
Market maker
Market type
Two outcomes
Created
Mar 11, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 02:59 UTC
Discussion

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Disclaimer and Information Notice

Information Accuracy:The data provided is based on the historical records of the Exchange. The term "Total ₿" refers to the ₿ volume of transactions on the Exchange since its inception. PREDYX strives to ensure accuracy but there may be inadvertent errors. We disclaim any liability arising from them and reserve the right to make corrections at any time. The content is provided on an "AS IS" and "AS AVAILABLE" basis.

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