No trades yet
This market has no holders at the moment. The first participants to buy shares will appear on this leaderboard.
Sign in to see your orders.
Ask the creator to resolve this market
Please log in to send a resolution request
No requests yet. Be the first to ask for resolution!
Detailed Description
This market resolves to YES if the BTC/USD spot price reaches or exceeds $100,000 at any time between March 11, 2026 (00:00 UTC) and December 31, 2026 (23:59 UTC). The market may resolve to YES early upon confirmation of the price threshold.
The reference price will be the highest recorded BTC/USD trade price on the Coinbase exchange during the specified period, verified via official API (api.coinbase.com) or historical data.
Example scenarios:
• If Bitcoin trades at $100,001 on April 1, 2026, the market resolves YES.
• If the highest recorded price during the entire period is $99,999, the market resolves NO at the end of the prediction window.
Resolution is determined strictly by verifiable market price data, regardless of macroeconomic conditions or external narratives.
Outcomes
• YES: Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $100,000 at any time during the prediction period.
• NO: Bitcoin does not reach $100,000 during the prediction period.
Resolution Rules
Primary Source
BTC/USD spot market on Coinbase, based on the highest confirmed trade price during the prediction period (via API or official records).
Secondary Sources
If Coinbase data is unavailable or disputed, the following exchanges may be used for verification (using the average of the highest prices if discrepancy >1%):
• Binance
• Kraken
Price Spikes
Short-lived spikes caused by exchange errors or technical glitches may be disregarded if there is strong evidence the trade was invalid.
Resolution Process
Resolution will be handled by Predyx’s oracle or team based on public data. In case of disputes, Predyx reserves the right to use archived data or community consensus. Payouts are instant via Lightning Network in sats, based on final outcomes.
Defined Dates
Prediction Start
March 11, 2026 — 00:00 UTC
Prediction End
December 31, 2026 — 23:59 UTC (trading closes at this time)
Maximum Resolution Date
January 1, 2027 — 23:59 UTC
The market may resolve early if the price threshold is reached.
Click the magic wand to get AI-powered market insights
Start the conversation