Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

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LMSR
Mar 01, 2027
OutcomeChanceActions
  • Anthropic

    63,812 sats vol.

    86.6%0%
  • OpenAI

    0 sats vol.

    13.4%0%

This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.

This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.

This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Mechanism
Market maker
Market type
Multiple outcomes
Closes
Mar 2, 2027, 05:59 UTC
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