The reference for this is Dathon Ohm's proposed a Temporary Soft Fork on Github , which may change in some part between now and supposed activation. Any changes are valid as long as a consensus change is put forth which reduces data size.

For an avoidance of doubt, in the event Dathon withdraws the PR, the fall back will be if ANY soft fork is activated with the focus of reducing arbitrary data on chain is activated at all.

If no consensus change is activated on the network between now and March 1st 2026, this market will resolve to a "NO".

The market will resolve to a "YES" if a consensus change which reduces arbitrary data on chain happens in bitcoin between now and March 1 2026, and those consensus rules are on the chain tip with the most cumulative proof of work.