Resolution Criteria: The market resolves "Yes" if Israel conducts a military invasion into Lebanon by December 31, 2024, based on the Cambridge Dictionary definition of invasion: "the act of entering a place by force, often in large numbers" or "an occasion when an army or country uses force to enter and take control of another country." Verified by official sources or credible international news (e.g., Reuters, BBC). If Israeli forces enter Lebanon in significant numbers with the aim of taking control of parts or all of the country, it qualifies as an invasion. As an analogy, consider Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, where Russian forces entered the country with military objectives and took control of various regions. Even if not all of Lebanon is occupied, if Israeli forces enter Lebanon forcibly, the market resolves to "Yes." If no such invasion occurs, it resolves "No." Resolution Date & Time: December 31, 2024, at 23:59 PST.