This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM PT, Ali Khamenei ceases to hold the position of Supreme Leader of Iran.
This includes, but is not limited to:
Death
Formal resignation
Official removal by the Assembly of Experts
Deposition, exile, or incapacitation that results in a new Supreme Leader being appointed or assuming de facto authority
The market will resolve to “No” if Khamenei remains the recognized Supreme Leader through the end of 2025.
Clarifications:
Temporary absence (e.g., medical leave or rumors of death) does not qualify unless there is official confirmationthat he is no longer Supreme Leader.
If a successor is named and assumes power, either officially or through widely confirmed reporting, the market resolves “Yes.”
In the absence of official government confirmation, the market may also resolve based on widespread consensus in credible international media (e.g., Reuters, BBC, AP, NYT).
Loading your prediction experience...
Predyx © 2025
Disclaimer and Information Notice
Information Accuracy and Timeliness: The data provided is based on the historical records of the Exchange. The term "Total Sats" refers to the sats volume of transactions on the Exchange since its inception.
Disclaimer: PREDYX strives to ensure the accuracy and timeliness of the information provided. However, there may be inadvertent inaccuracies, errors, and omissions. We apologize for these and expressly disclaim any liability arising from them. We reserve the right to make changes and corrections at any time without notice. The content is provided on an "AS IS," "AS AVAILABLE" basis.
Performance and Risk: Any information related to past or historical performance should not be considered indicative of future performance, and no reliance should be placed on such information. Trading on PREDYX involves risks and may not be suitable for everyone. Participants risk losing their investment, including fees. Fees: 2% Buy, 2% Sell, 1% Win. It is important to carefully consider whether trading on PREDYX aligns with your investment experience and financial resources. All trading decisions are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
There are no comment yet...