Resolution Criteria:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Justin Trudeau:
• Announces his resignation as Prime Minister of Canada, OR
• Ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time between December 22, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).
If Trudeau announces his resignation but remains in office beyond March 31, 2025, the market will still resolve to “Yes” immediately upon the announcement.
Resolution Source:
• Primary source: Official statements from Justin Trudeau or the Government of Canada.
• Secondary: Consensus from credible media outlets and reporting.
If no such announcement or change occurs by the end of the timeframe, the market will resolve to “No.”
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