Markets 283 / 67 result

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

November 30, 2026 3% 27.8%
October 31, 2026 5% 26.3%
Not by December 31, 202623.2%
December 31, 2026 2% 22.8%
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Democrat James Talarico To Win Texas Senate Seat?

Democrat James Talarico To Win Texas Senate Seat?

66.13%chance
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US/Russia tactical nuclear strike 2026?

US/Russia tactical nuclear strike 2026?

9.25%chance
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will the Fed raise the federal funds rate at the October 2026 FOMC meeting?

will the Fed raise the federal funds rate at the October 2026 FOMC meeting?

28.96%chance
3.18%
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LULA ganhará a Eleição de 2026 no Brasil?

LULA ganhará a Eleição de 2026 no Brasil?

22.08%chance
7.63%
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Who will win the Brazil Presidential Election

Who will win the Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 10% 58.2%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 10% 41.8%
Tarcisio de Freitas0.0%
Renan Santos0.0%
Ratinho Júnior0.0%
Fernando Haddad0.0%
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Will Gyanesh Kumar Resign or Be Removed as CEC by December 31, 2026?

Will Gyanesh Kumar Resign or Be Removed as CEC by December 31, 2026?

26.80%chance
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Is Lynn Alden a Man ?

Is Lynn Alden a Man ?

92.28%chance
38.01%
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Netanyahu still Israeli PM at the end of 2026?

Netanyahu still Israeli PM at the end of 2026?

65.16%chance
4.43%
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Xi Jinping out in 2026?

Xi Jinping out in 2026?

2.32%chance
1.63%
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Will US declare Brazil enemy or attack 2026?

Will US declare Brazil enemy or attack 2026?

9.44%chance
1.31%
40,541 sats9,000 sats
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Who will be the Libertarian Party nominee for President in 2028?

Who will be the Libertarian Party nominee for President in 2028?

Thomas Massie 1% 18.8%
Chase Oliver18.1%
Other16.0%
Justin Amash15.7%
Jo Jorgensen15.7%
Michael Rectenwald15.7%
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2027 French presidential election winner?

2027 French presidential election winner?

Marine La Pen 3% 26.1%
Édouard Philippe12.3%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.3%
Gabriel Attal12.3%
David Lisnard12.3%
Bruno Retailleau12.3%
Other12.3%
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Will Iranian regime fall 2026?

Will Iranian regime fall 2026?

12.85%chance
1.78%
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US national Bitcoin reserve in 2026?

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2026?

14.56%chance
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US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?

US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?

3.83%chance
1.06%
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Will Cuba be attacked by the USA before the end of 2026?

Will Cuba be attacked by the USA before the end of 2026?

8.47%chance
1.46%
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Which party will win the U.S. House of Representatives in 2026?

Which party will win the U.S. House of Representatives in 2026?

Democrats91.9%
Republicans8.1%
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Bo French elected Texas railroad commissioner 2026?

Bo French elected Texas railroad commissioner 2026?

49.50%chance
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Hunter Biden runs for President in 2028

Hunter Biden runs for President in 2028

37.83%chance
14.43%
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Sánchez PM exit by Dec 2026?

Sánchez PM exit by Dec 2026?

46.75%chance
14.07%
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Trump pardons Samourai Wallet dev before Dec 31, 2026?

Trump pardons Samourai Wallet dev before Dec 31, 2026?

7.63%chance
1.35%
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2028 US President?

2028 US President?

JD Vance 3% 22.7%
Marco Rubio 7% 20.4%
Jon Ossoff 3% 9.8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2% 7.9%
Gavin Newsom6.2%
Other Republican 3.6%
Donald Trump2.8%
Josh Shapiro2.8%
Dwayne Johnson2.8%
Pete Buttigieg2.8%
Andy Beshear2.8%
JB Pritzker2.8%
Gretchen Whitmer2.8%
Stephen A Smith2.8%
Other Democrat2.8%
Kamala Harris2.6%
Ron DeSantis1.8%
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Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 7% 23.7%
Marco Rubio 6% 19.9%
Gavin Newsom 2% 7.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 1% 7.1%
Tucker Carlson 1% 4.2%
Tulsi Gabbard3.3%
Tim Walz3.0%
Greg Abbott2.0%
Donald Trump1.9%
Kamala Harris1.9%
Stephen Smith1.9%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.9%
Pete Buttigieg1.9%
Andy Beshear1.9%
Josh Shapiro1.9%
Gretchen Whitmer1.9%
JB Pritzker1.9%
Ron DeSantis1.6%
Kim Kardashian1.2%
Ivanka Trump1.2%
Wes Moore1.2%
Donald Trump Jr.1.2%
Vivek Ramaswamy1.2%
Elon Musk1.2%
Nikki Haley1.2%
LeBron James1.2%
Glenn Youngkin1.2%
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Will Chancellor (Fotzen)Fritz resign by the end of 2026?

Will Chancellor (Fotzen)Fritz resign by the end of 2026?

9.60%chance
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Alberta independence referendum passes 2026?
Politics 5 days left

Alberta independence referendum passes 2026?

0.88%chance
7.91%
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Thomas Massie Wins 2028 Presidential Election

Thomas Massie Wins 2028 Presidential Election

7.94%chance
3.22%
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Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

4.01%chance
2.23%
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Will Dr. Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2028?

Will Dr. Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2028?

13.05%chance
1.20%
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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.1%
Jon Ossoff 2% 12.3%
Gavin Newsom11.2%
Josh Shapiro6.2%
Kamala Harris5.3%
Stephen A. Smith3.7%
Andy Beshear2.1%
Barack Obama1.4%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.4%
Wes Moore1.4%
J.B. Pritzker1.4%
Gretchen Whitmer1.4%
Rahm Emanuel1.4%
Mark Kelly1.4%
Jon Stewart1.4%
Michelle Obama1.4%
Mark Cuban1.4%
Tim Walz1.4%
John Fetterman1.4%
Jared Polis1.4%
Roy Cooper1.4%
Oprah Winfrey1.4%
Gina Raimondo1.4%
Raphael Warnock1.4%
George Clooney1.4%
Corey Booker1.4%
Bernie Sanders1.4%
Liz Cheney1.4%
Beto O’Rourke1.4%
Zohran Mamdani1.4%
Andrew Yang1.4%
Kim Kardashian1.4%
Phil Murphy1.4%
LeBron James1.4%
Hunter Biden1.4%
Chelsea Clinton1.4%
MrBeast1.4%
Hillary Clinton1.4%
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