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Ohio Governor Election Winner
Amy Acton 7% 76.0%
Vivek Ramaswamy 7% 24.0%
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Democrat James Talarico To Win Texas Senate Seat?
81.01%chance
35.94%
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Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D) 2% 71.5%
Mike Rogers (R) 2% 28.5%
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Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by 11/6?
26.42%chance
8.92%
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Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Gadi Eizenkot 16% 57.7%
Benjamin Netanyahu 11% 25.5%
Naftali Bennett 6% 10.9%
Itamar Ben Gvir 4% 5.9%
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2026 Midterms Senate control?
Democrats 18% 62.0%
Republicans 18% 38.0%
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Insurrection Act activation by end of 2026?
23.57%chance
1.85%
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Lula (Brazil President) criminally prosecuted before 2028?
17.75%chance
1.51%
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Netanyahu still Israeli PM at the end of 2026?
24.46%chance
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Iranian regime falls by the end of 2027?
15.56%chance
1.36%
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Iran Supreme Leader changes before 2027?
16.54%chance
1.43%
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Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
Not by December 31, 2026 7% 35.7%
November 30, 202634.4%
December 31, 202628.3%
October 31, 2026 9% 1.6%
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Will Chancellor (Fotzen)Fritz resign by the end of 2026?
7.29%chance
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US national Bitcoin reserve in 2026?
8.71%chance
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Adam Hamilton wins 2026 Kansas Senate?
53.81%chance
2.28%
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Bo French elected Texas railroad commissioner 2026?
49.25%chance
3.30%
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China invades Taiwan in 2026?
2.64%chance
1.25%
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will Trump publicly target Pelosi, Khanna, or Hickenlooper for trading irregularities by Dec 31, 2026?
47.35%chance
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Next Turkish election: winning party?
Recep Tayyip Erdogan20.4%
Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu20.4%
Yeni Parti20.4%
MHP19.4%
Others19.4%
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2026 Midterms House Control?
Democrats96.7%
Republicans3.3%
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Thomas Massie Wins 2028 Presidential Election
7.24%chance
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Will Vladimir Putin Remain President of Russia by July 1, 2027?
91.60%chance
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The 2026 Billionaire Tax Act Passes In California Election 2026?
7.76%chance
4.37%
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Is Lynn Alden a Man ?
91.07%chance
20.83%
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US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?
3.47%chance
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Which party will win the U.S. House of Representatives in 2026?
Democrats 2% 96.3%
Republicans 2% 3.7%
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Somaliland recognized by new country before 2028?
46.87%chance
3.15%
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US economic sanctions on Brazil before 2027
27.70%chance
31.54%
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Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire before 2027
15.99%chance
3.91%
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Trump pardons Samourai Wallet dev before Dec 31, 2026?
6.89%chance
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