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Markets 221 / 45 result

Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by May 31?
OB
NEW

Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by May 31?

Chance 32.21%
12.21%
Buy Yes
Buy No
75.59K
100K
43
Getting prices...
Will DJT make it to July, 2026?
Trump

Will DJT make it to July, 2026?

Chance 89.79%
2.92%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
Is Lynn Alden a Man ?
NEW

Is Lynn Alden a Man ?

Chance 61.22%
38.82%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
Who will win the Brazil Presidential Election

Who will win the Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro
50%
6%
Yes
No
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
44%
5%
Yes
No
Tarcisio de Freitas
5%
Yes
No
Ratinho Júnior
1%
Yes
No
Renan Santos
0%
Yes
No
Fernando Haddad
0%
Yes
No
Getting prices...
Gustavo Petro out before August 5 2026

Gustavo Petro out before August 5 2026

Chance 6.30%
3.68%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom
45%
2%
Yes
No
Josh Shapiro
7%
Yes
No
Kamala Harris
6%
Yes
No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%
Yes
No
Stephen A. Smith
3%
Yes
No
Barack Obama
2%
Yes
No
Andy Beshear
2%
Yes
No
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Yes
No
J.B. Pritzker
1%
Yes
No
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Yes
No
Wes Moore
1%
Yes
No
Jon Ossoff
1%
Yes
No
Mark Cuban
1%
Yes
No
Corey Booker
1%
Yes
No
George Clooney
1%
Yes
No
Bernie Sanders
1%
Yes
No
Liz Cheney
1%
Yes
No
Raphael Warnock
1%
Yes
No
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Yes
No
Gina Raimondo
1%
Yes
No
Zohran Mamdani
1%
Yes
No
Roy Cooper
1%
Yes
No
Andrew Yang
1%
Yes
No
Kim Kardashian
1%
Yes
No
Jared Polis
1%
Yes
No
Phil Murphy
1%
Yes
No
John Fetterman
1%
Yes
No
LeBron James
1%
Yes
No
Tim Walz
1%
Yes
No
Hunter Biden
1%
Yes
No
Michelle Obama
1%
Yes
No
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Yes
No
Jon Stewart
1%
Yes
No
MrBeast
1%
Yes
No
Mark Kelly
1%
Yes
No
Rahm Emanuel
1%
Yes
No
Hillary Clinton
1%
Yes
No
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Yes
No
Getting prices...
Trump presidency ends before June1st 2026 New Zealand time. If he resigns, dies or otherwise removed and so ceases to be serving president of USA before this date.

Trump presidency ends before June1st 2026 New Zealand time. If he resigns, dies or otherwise removed and so ceases to be serving president of USA before this date.

Chance 8.58%
1.71%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
Trump pardons Samourai Wallet dev before Dec 31, 2026?
Bitcoin

Trump pardons Samourai Wallet dev before Dec 31, 2026?

Chance 27.75%
Buy Yes
Buy No
336.13K
100K
59
Getting prices...
Iran nuclear possession announcement by 2027?
iran

Iran nuclear possession announcement by 2027?

Chance 9.62%
12.82%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
Donald Trump 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner?

Donald Trump 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner?

Chance 3.03%
1.62%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
Gold price $6000 before May 2026?
Bitcoin

Gold price $6000 before May 2026?

Chance 2.22%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
Starmer out in 2026?

Starmer out in 2026?

Chance 73.11%
2.53%
Buy Yes
Buy No
35.43K
20K
17
Getting prices...
Argentina controls Falklands by 2027?
War

Argentina controls Falklands by 2027?

Chance 10.95%
10.54%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
2028 US Presidential winning party?

2028 US Presidential winning party?

Democratic
50%
Yes
No
Republican
49%
Yes
No
Other
2%
Yes
No
Getting prices...
US strikes Mexico in 2026?
Trump

US strikes Mexico in 2026?

Chance 24.27%
1.08%
Buy Yes
Buy No
52.51K
50K
28
Getting prices...
Will Cuba be attacked by the USA before the end of 2026?
War

Will Cuba be attacked by the USA before the end of 2026?

Chance 17.02%
42.62%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
Insurrection Act activation by end of 2026?
Trump

Insurrection Act activation by end of 2026?

Chance 25.42%
10.56%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2026?
Trump

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2026?

Chance 25.37%
3.97%
Buy Yes
Buy No
34K
50K
4
Getting prices...
Xi Jinping out in 2026?

Xi Jinping out in 2026?

Chance 4.78%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
Tim Walz Faces Criminal Charges  By?

Tim Walz Faces Criminal Charges By?

September 30, 2026
51%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
41%
Yes
No
March 31, 2026
7%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
1%
Yes
No
Getting prices...
Venezuela becomes 51st state of America in 2026?
Trump

Venezuela becomes 51st state of America in 2026?

Chance 3.23%
Buy Yes
Buy No
141.63K
30K
13
Getting prices...
Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?

Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?

Chance 84.26%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?

US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?

Chance 16.18%
Buy Yes
Buy No
123.44K
20K
92
Getting prices...
Netanyahu still Israeli PM at the end of 2026?
israel

Netanyahu still Israeli PM at the end of 2026?

Chance 62.15%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
Will Himanta Return as CM of Assam?

Will Himanta Return as CM of Assam?

Chance 84.35%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
Will Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi resigns before the end of 2026?
Asia

Will Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi resigns before the end of 2026?

Chance 9.90%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
Will Pierre Poilievre, leader of the Canadian Conservative Party, still be the leader by the end of 2026?

Will Pierre Poilievre, leader of the Canadian Conservative Party, still be the leader by the end of 2026?

Chance 90.03%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
China invades Taiwan in 2026?

China invades Taiwan in 2026?

Chance 8.59%
Buy Yes
Buy No
121.11K
50K
15
Getting prices...
Which party will win the U.S. House of Representatives in 2026?

Which party will win the U.S. House of Representatives in 2026?

Democrats
86%
Yes
No
Republicans
14%
Yes
No
Getting prices...
Axel Kicillof out before the end of 2026?

Axel Kicillof out before the end of 2026?

Chance 17.76%
Buy Yes
Buy No
Getting prices...
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