Markets 277 / 18 result

World News

Who will win the Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro▲ 4% 68.6%YesNo

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva▼ 4% 31.4%YesNo

Tarcisio de Freitas0.0%YesNo

Renan Santos0.0%YesNo

Ratinho Júnior0.0%YesNo

Fernando Haddad0.0%YesNo

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Commodity

Will gold hit $6,000/oz in 2026?

7.45%chance

▼ 1.18%

Yes0.07No0.93

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Pandemic

Russia pneumonic plague cases abroad in 2026?

52.33%chance

▲ 1.67%

Yes0.52No0.48

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Politics

2027 French presidential election winner?

Marine La Pen▲ 3% 26.1%YesNo

Édouard Philippe12.3%YesNo

Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.3%YesNo

Gabriel Attal12.3%YesNo

David Lisnard12.3%YesNo

Bruno Retailleau12.3%YesNo

Other12.3%YesNo

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War

US/Russia tactical nuclear strike 2026?

8.84%chance

▼ 1.75%

Yes0.09No0.91

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Politics

US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?

3.83%chance

▼ 1.06%

Yes0.04No0.96

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Finance

US Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?

22.25%chance

▼ 1.87%

Yes0.22No0.78

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News

2026 Atlantic Category 3+ Hurricanes?

Exactly 0 or 1▼ 33% 56.3%YesNo

Exactly 2▲ 34% 38.1%YesNo

Exactly 3▲ 5% 5.1%YesNo

Exactly 4▼ 2% 0.3%YesNo

5 or more0.2%YesNo

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Finance

Will a final text explicitly mentioning “phasing out fossil fuels” be approved at COP31 (Nov 9–20, Antalya)?

55.92%chance

Yes0.56No0.44

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Politics

Will Dr. Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2028?

13.05%chance

▲ 1.20%

Yes0.13No0.87

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World News

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Gadi Eizenkot▲ 3% 44.3%YesNo

Itamar Ben Gvir▼ 1% 25.3%YesNo

Naftali Bennett▼ 1% 22.3%YesNo

Benjamin Netanyahu8.2%YesNo

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Trump

US strikes Mexico in 2026?

9.97%chance

▼ 1.33%

Yes0.10No0.90

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Trump

Donald Trump pardons Sam Bankman-Fried

3.90%chance

Yes0.04No0.96

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UFC

Will Conor McGregor fight at The White House in a UFC event before the end of 2026?

3.39%chance

Yes0.03No0.97

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World News

Alien evidence disclosure by end of 2026?

10.16%chance

▼ 1.98%

Yes0.10No0.90

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Politics

China invades Taiwan in 2026?

4.59%chance

▼ 5.08%

Yes0.05No0.95

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iran

Iran nuclear possession announcement by 2027?

9.62%chance

Yes0.10No0.90

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Trump

Venezuela becomes 51st state of America in 2026?

1.76%chance

Yes0.02No0.98

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