Markets 265 / 7 result

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Anthropic 4% 86.6%
OpenAI 4% 13.4%
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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1T – $1.14T31.9%
$1.15 trillion – $1.5 trillion29.2%
More than $1.5T 2% 21.3%
Less than $1T 1% 17.6%
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AGI achieved by 2027

AGI achieved by 2027

16.81%chance
1.87%
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AI bubble burst in 2026?

AI bubble burst in 2026?

13.43%chance
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LLM beats chess super grandmaster by 2028?

LLM beats chess super grandmaster by 2028?

66.11%chance
18.02%
29,420 sats10,000 sats
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Next U.S. state to pass a data center moratorium?

Next U.S. state to pass a data center moratorium?

Michigan 6% 17.5%
Maryland7.4%
Vermont6.9%
Pennsylvania 6.8%
South Carolina6.8%
Georgia6.8%
Virginia6.8%
Maine6.8%
Minnesota6.8%
New Hampshire6.8%
South Dakota6.8%
Oklahoma6.8%
Wisconsin6.8%
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AI generate full movie by early 2028?

AI generate full movie by early 2028?

82.79%chance
42,187 sats12,500 sats
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