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Will Donald Trump finish his second term?

Will Donald Trump finish his second term?

83.38%chance
12.02%
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Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 7% 23.7%
Marco Rubio 6% 19.9%
Gavin Newsom 2% 7.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 1% 7.1%
Tucker Carlson 1% 4.2%
Tulsi Gabbard3.3%
Tim Walz3.0%
Greg Abbott2.0%
Donald Trump1.9%
Kamala Harris1.9%
Stephen Smith1.9%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.9%
Pete Buttigieg1.9%
Andy Beshear1.9%
Josh Shapiro1.9%
Gretchen Whitmer1.9%
JB Pritzker1.9%
Ron DeSantis1.6%
Kim Kardashian1.2%
Ivanka Trump1.2%
Wes Moore1.2%
Donald Trump Jr.1.2%
Vivek Ramaswamy1.2%
Elon Musk1.2%
Nikki Haley1.2%
LeBron James1.2%
Glenn Youngkin1.2%
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Thomas Massie Wins 2028 Presidential Election

Thomas Massie Wins 2028 Presidential Election

7.94%chance
3.22%
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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.1%
Jon Ossoff 2% 12.3%
Gavin Newsom11.2%
Josh Shapiro6.2%
Kamala Harris5.3%
Stephen A. Smith3.7%
Andy Beshear2.1%
Barack Obama1.4%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.4%
Wes Moore1.4%
J.B. Pritzker1.4%
Gretchen Whitmer1.4%
Rahm Emanuel1.4%
Mark Kelly1.4%
Jon Stewart1.4%
Michelle Obama1.4%
Mark Cuban1.4%
Tim Walz1.4%
John Fetterman1.4%
Jared Polis1.4%
Roy Cooper1.4%
Oprah Winfrey1.4%
Gina Raimondo1.4%
Raphael Warnock1.4%
George Clooney1.4%
Corey Booker1.4%
Bernie Sanders1.4%
Liz Cheney1.4%
Beto O’Rourke1.4%
Zohran Mamdani1.4%
Andrew Yang1.4%
Kim Kardashian1.4%
Phil Murphy1.4%
LeBron James1.4%
Hunter Biden1.4%
Chelsea Clinton1.4%
MrBeast1.4%
Hillary Clinton1.4%
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Which party will win the U.S. House of Representatives in 2026?

Which party will win the U.S. House of Representatives in 2026?

Democrats 2% 87.2%
Republicans 2% 12.8%
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The 2026 Billionaire Tax Act Passes In California Election 2026?

The 2026 Billionaire Tax Act Passes In California Election 2026?

42.97%chance
11.60%
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2028 US Presidential winning party?

2028 US Presidential winning party?

Democratic49.6%
Republican48.8%
Other1.6%
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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 10% 49.1%
Marco Rubio 9% 22.9%
Ron DeSantis 1% 9.0%
Tucker Carlson 3% 8.2%
Rand Paul0.9%
Donald Trump0.5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0.5%
Donald Trump Jr.0.4%
Erika Kirk0.4%
Nikki Haley0.4%
Glenn Youngkin0.4%
Kim Kardashian0.4%
Vivek Ramaswamy0.4%
Brian Kemp0.4%
Elon Musk0.4%
Tulsi Gabbard0.4%
Matt Gaetz0.4%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders0.4%
Greg Abbott0.4%
Byron Donalds0.4%
Elise Stefanik0.4%
Josh Hawley0.4%
Ted Cruz0.4%
Katie Britt0.4%
John Thune0.4%
Kristi Noem0.4%
Mike Pence0.4%
Tom Brady0.4%
Steve Bannon0.4%
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2028 Republican presidential nominee

2028 Republican presidential nominee

J.D. Vance 13% 49.1%
Marco Rubio 6% 22.4%
Rod Desantis 3% 11.1%
Thomas Massie 2% 8.8%
Tucker Carlson 2% 8.7%
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Hunter Biden runs for President in 2028

Hunter Biden runs for President in 2028

23.41%chance
2.45%
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Next U.S. state to pass a data center moratorium?

Next U.S. state to pass a data center moratorium?

Michigan 6% 17.5%
Maryland7.4%
Vermont6.9%
Pennsylvania 6.8%
South Carolina6.8%
Georgia6.8%
Virginia6.8%
Maine6.8%
Minnesota6.8%
New Hampshire6.8%
South Dakota6.8%
Oklahoma6.8%
Wisconsin6.8%
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