This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between July 31 and August 31, 2025 (ET).

Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.

Primary resolution source:

The United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program:

🔗 https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef

After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, the market will resolve based on the latest data available at that time.

If an eligible earthquake occurs during the market timeframe but does not yet appear on the resolution source, this market may remain open until September 7, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.